From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. In his past six starts, hes gained over six strokes on approach and lost over six in separator starts. Fortunately, the same variance which makes him hilariously untrustworthy keeps his price from ever rising too high. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). We've entered golf's '+1' era, Pat McAfee dished some juicy details about his recent golf trip with the Mannings to (maybe???) USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Schauffele's accuracy could spell trouble on Riviera's tight fairways. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. This tournament has almost 20 percent of the world top 50, which isn't bad, but it's going to feel like a letdown after the last two weeks. He can keep putting up strong finishes and chip away until he nets a win (most likely a week with Bermuda greens). Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. 6. For more fantasy, check out Qualifiers and Reshuffle. Scottish Open Picks and Predictions: Look for Jon Rahm, Luke List To Who should you back with your Fantasy golf picks? Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National,Mayo Media Network analyst: Jhonattan Vegas (35-1, DraftKings) So far in 2023, Vegas has top-25 finishes at Farmers and Phoenix and made the cut at Riviera. 2022 Tour Championship Fantasy golf rankings, expert picks, lineup Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. Shane Lowry: Lowry is hopefully getting on the right track again after a T-14 finish at Riviera. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. Munoz is also 14th on tour over the past 100 rounds in Opportunities Gained, a FantasyNational stat that indicates birdie chances. 10. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Min Woo Lee (25-1, BetMGM) Our caddie makes great points on Min Woos form in the U.S. Itd be a great story to see him win, but its a tough ask at these odds. It turned out to be at Sedgefield, where the 20-year-old won by five strokes. It looked like the rest was needed based on the downtrend. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) McCarthy has missed just one cut (Phoenix) in his last nine starts and has threatened the top of the board in Bermuda (T-6), Pebble Beach (T-4) and Genesis (T-14). Gambling Problem? Farmers: Jason Day. "He just keeps hanging around," Holliman says, "but he's rarely a true threat." The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. But one of these weeks will be spectacular. But as a caddie, I can see Davis playing well for one reason. The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Overall, the last six winners have all been either 30/1 or below (Spieth, Mickelson and Berger) or 100/1 or longer. The Loop on Apple Podcasts 2023 The Honda Classic expert picks, betting rankings and fantasy golf tips "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." Seriously. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks: Expert picks, best bets for PGA Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. 3M Open 2022 Fantasy golf picks, advice, rankings: Golf expert says 12:31 pm ET, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman, You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine, See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, The American Express 2023 Fantasy golf picks, lineups, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. RELATED: The 9 bets you should make right now for 2021. Matthew Wolff tees off at last year's Sentry Tournament of Champions in Maui. On the other hand, the expert says Cantlay has just the kind of well-rounded game that he needs to succeed in The American Express. Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. RELATED: Jon Rahms prescientand scaryquote. The 28-year-old is one of the best on the planet, but he was 143rd in strokes gained around the green last season, and his putter can be streaky. Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OH/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. Caddie: Ben Griffin (+130, Day 1 three-ball) over Dylan Frittelli and Sean OHair (DraftKings) Griffin at +130 on Bermudagrass seems like a steal. Augusta National, Danielle Kang moonlights as a putter maker(! Mayo: Eric Cole (+900, DraftKings) A veteran of the Florida Minor League Golf system, Coles gained on approach in six of his last seven starts, and now returns to familiar Bermudagrass on the greens. All Rights Reserved. Our job is to pick the guys who wont be made to look like fools at PGA National's Champion course this week. There is no value in picking a guy who hasn't played a PGA Tour event since last summer and missed the cut. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? The issue comes on and around the green for Conners. While Scheffler was routinely priced up in the betting markets against weaker fields, the 24-year-old actually did his best work among the elites. WED UPDATE: WEATHER, FINAL BETS, DRAFTKINGS NOTES, 2023 Pebble Beach Picks & Preview | Info & Research | Stats/Tools, 2023 Pebble Beach DraftKings Picks | Player/Course Notes | Own Projections, Subscribe To the PME YouTube | Apple | Spotify | Insta | Twitter | E-Mail, Field: 156 PlayersCut: Top 60 and Ties after 54 HolesLineup Lock: Thursday, February 2Defending Champ: Tom Hoge. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. 15 DFS Golf Picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii - FantasyData Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. It . The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. After that top end, it quickly drops into defending champ Tom Hoge, Seamus Power, Matt Kuchar, Justin Rose, Joel Dahmen, Mav McNealy, and Kevin Kisner. Kisner and Dahmen are making their first starts of 2023. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media. Daily Fantasy Golf | FantasyLabs managing editor: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) Dennys been playing some great golfcontending at Pebble Beach (fourth-place) and playing well last week at the Genesis (T-14)and I think hes finally ready to break through for a victory. Just hope this is the week it all click for him. Holliman says he has learned from his mistakes and is fully behind Rahm this week at Riviera. Here are the players they like for this year. Despite missing the cut in Phoenix, Wise still gained 0.3 strokes off-the-tee and one stroke on approach, improving in both ball-striking categories from another disappointing MC at the American Express. Gehman: Kevin Tway (+1000, DraftKings) Tways game is rounding into form right now. Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. He also sits second in GIR rate, especially important when the field is hovering around 60 percent in Palm Beach Gardens. 9. Odds and lines subject to change. By Pat Mayo May 1, 2022, 3:41pm PDT Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Ball-strikers who can putt at even a field-average baseline can have value week in and week out. The former American Express winner has a proven track record of delivering at water-intensive golf courses that place an emphasis on middle-iron play, with a runner-up and a 16th at TPC Twin Cities, a 22nd at TPC Sawgrass, a 24th at TPC Southwind, and a 27th here at PGA National. The Spaniard was impressive in the final round at the Sentry and has won three of his past five tournaments. Hello, Aaron Rai. Expert Picks: AT&T Byron Nelson - PGATour Who wins the 2023 Genesis Invitational? AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. All Rights Reserved. Before setting your Fantasy golf rankings or making any 2023 American Express picks, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman. With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Hes in great company as the others are Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay. Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Adam Scott (+490, FanDuel) A course history play for me on Adam Scott, who finished T-4 here last year, won here in 2020 and boasts the best SG/total numbers at. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. 3. Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. Theres a reason he can be in play for a first-round leader, for FanDuel value, top-10s and even outrights, particularly on Bermuda courses. Hennessey: Chris Kirk As I mentioned above, I love Kirk as a top-10 bet this weekand though he might not have the winning equity youd want in a One and Done bet, the consistency is reason to go with him here. When your one-elite skill (driving) is one of the most valuable a golfer can possess, its really only a matter of time before enough putts fall to stand in the winners circle. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. But his play on and around the greens is bound to regress to his typical level. Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. With a few solid finishes early in 2021, he would improve his World Ranking enough to earn exemptions in World Golf Championship events, making him viable in both fantasy and One & Done formats all year long. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational - pgatour.com 1. His five top-10 finishes since July arent fluky: They stem from top-tier iron play and overall tee-to-green performance. Poston is coming off a respectable showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, securing a T-21 finish in Hawaii. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. The Sony Open in Hawaii World Golf Rankings 2022 Players Championship one and done picks, fantasy golf predictions, PGA betting advice from DFS expert Mike McClure has locked in his PGA one and done picks and. Short-iron specialists, regardless of distance, consistently perform the best on an annual basis at all three courses. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Hes been in the green on approach in five of the last six, and that pesky putter has shown brief glimpses of brilliance at the Sony Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. The Rocket Mortgage Classic For the The American Express 2023, Holliman is backing a massive sleeper for Fantasy rosters who is priced at $7,000 at DraftKings and has triple-digit odds to win at Caesars. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron Wise? Expert Picks: The American Express - pgatour.com ), surges up leaderboard in Singapore, Here's the prize money payout for each golfer at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Padraig Harrington is squeezing out the last bit of game from a career with highs and a few regrets, You missed the boat on the Caddyshack "Seafood" yacht, which just sold to a Rhode Island professor, The good, the bad and the unknown about the PGA Tours new Designated Events model, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoing drastic change, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoes another drastic change. See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National, contribute their picks every week to our Golf Digest weekly experts picks column. He is in the top 35 in every strokes gained category, including 13th around the green and 21st putting. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. He tied for second at the Shriners earlier this season and shot 12 under on the weekend to surge to T-16 at the Sentry his last time out. Ancer continues to show up in big events, and theres no reason to think that will end in 2021. Sure, he didnt play great on the west coast, which actually improves his value here. If they fall, were really looking at a high-ceiling week. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Pebble Beach is annually the course with the shortest average drive on TOUR (264 yards vs. 283 yards) and the one with the fewest amount of drives over 300 yards (nine percent). 2022 RSM Classic odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from golf model Their names? Poston has now finished inside the top-25 in eight of his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour. Poston currently ranks 20th in greens in regulation percentage (73.89%) and 29th in driving accuracy percentage (66.20%), so confidently lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return this week at the 2023 Sony Open. PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. When at his best, Tway drives it long so hell be able to club down and hope for more precision around PGA National this week. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. Thats normally his bread and butter so to see him struggle there is raising massive red flags. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. PGA Tour Fantasy Golf How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. "It's a matter of when (not if) he gets his first on the PGA Tour," Holliman said of Kim. This guy seems to tear it up overseas on the DP World tour, but hasnt been able to catch his footing over here in the states. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. So what are the top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open? RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. Holliman has one stunning prediction for this week: Fantasy players should fade Rahm and look for better value. Fading Hideki. But victories arent always the only barometer of success. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Russell Henley, Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama and Xander Schauffele. At Pebble Beach, six of Holliman's picks finished in the top 15, including champion Justin Rose and top-five finishers Denny McCarthy and Keith Mitchell. The tournament, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, features a pro-am format and a 54-hole cut. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, and find out. "There are better ways to spend your valuable cap money," the expert says. Daily Fantasy Golf Tips Digest data and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and check out our PGA Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. That means there is a lot to consider when making your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks. Rahm is the favorite, priced at 7-1 at Caesars Sportsbook, followed by McIlroy and Scheffler, both at 10-1. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. Caddie: Davis Riley (80-1, BetMGM) With so many options in terms of longshots, this is a shot in the dark. Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. Put your knowledge to the test. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the. Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. He finished T-3 at this event two years ago and now hes ready to seal the deal. Golf Betting and Fantasy Picks: 10 players who will make you money in Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Honda Classic. I dont bring this up to dub Henley the next JT but rather to magnify how good Henley has been over a large sample. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? In 34 starts since the beginning of the 2018-19 season, Scheffler has lost strokes off the tee to the field only one time. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. Rocket Mortgage Classic 2022 Fantasy golf picks, rankings: Expert says Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. Top 2023 Sony Open PGA DFS picks One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. He finished fourth here in 2021, so this place fits his eye. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. He gains 0.66 strokes putting on this surface each round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database the best mark in the field. Golfers I'm Definitely Playing Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel) Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Investing in Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama is a great way to guarantee production, but each player comes with a hefty price tag on both sites. 2022 Players Championship one and done picks, fantasy golf predictions